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TSV Essingen vs Denzlingen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 game between TSV Essingen and Denzlingen finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Essingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
TSV Essingen
20%
Draws
0%
Denzlingen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSV Essingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • TSV Essingen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives TSV Essingen a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
TSV Essingen Clean Sheet 17%
Denzlingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Essingen Denzlingen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.53 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Denzlingen
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Denzlingen vs TSV Essingen
0:1
Nov 18, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Denzlingen vs TSV Essingen
0:0
Aug 5, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Denzlingen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Essingen 84 / 100
Denzlingen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Essingen Denzlingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Essingen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TSV Essingen scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Denzlingen conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Denzlingen's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

TSV Essingen VS Denzlingen
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Essingen

(Home)
19 Sept
Teningen
2 : 1
TSV Essingen
12 Sept
TSV Essingen
2 : 2
1. FC Muhlhausen
09 Sept
Karlsruher II
0 : 0
TSV Essingen
05 Sept
TSV Essingen
0 : 4
1. CfR Pforzheim
29 Aug
Ravensburg
3 : 0
TSV Essingen
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Denzlingen

(Away)
30 May
Goppinger
5 : 0
Denzlingen
23 May
Denzlingen
0 : 3
FC Normannia Gmund
16 May
Bietigheim-Bissingen
3 : 1
Denzlingen
09 May
Denzlingen
1 : 4
FC Nottingen
02 May
Ravensburg
2 : 1
Denzlingen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalen 34 26 5 3 87:24 83
2 VfR Mannheim 34 20 9 5 81:34 69
3 FC Nottingen 34 18 4 12 82:61 58
4 Ravensburg 34 16 9 9 61:52 57
5 TSV Essingen 34 14 12 8 54:58 54
6 Oberachern 34 16 6 12 54:62 54
7 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 12 12 10 68:61 48
8 Reutlingen 34 12 11 11 56:50 47
9 FC 08 Villingen 34 12 11 11 55:56 47
10 Karlsruher II 34 11 10 13 54:61 43
11 Backnang 34 12 6 16 50:67 42
12 Turkish SV Singen 34 12 4 18 55:81 40
13 FC Normannia Gmund 34 9 12 13 53:51 39
14 Turkspor Neckarsulm 34 11 6 17 52:61 39
15 Goppinger 34 9 9 16 53:53 36
16 Hollenbach 34 9 8 17 56:69 35
17 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 7 12 15 54:81 33
18 Denzlingen 34 5 4 25 35:78 19
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)