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TSV Grafenstein vs Nussdorf

Austria Austria

Karnten
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Karnten game between TSV Grafenstein and Nussdorf finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Grafenstein.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
TSV Grafenstein
20%
Draws
7%
Nussdorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSV Grafenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • TSV Grafenstein carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on TSV Grafenstein taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors TSV Grafenstein here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 20%
Nussdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Grafenstein Nussdorf
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 2.21 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs Nussdorf
4:1
Apr 2, 2026 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs Nussdorf
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Karnten
Nussdorf vs TSV Grafenstein
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Grafenstein 85 / 100
Nussdorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Grafenstein Nussdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Grafenstein Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TSV Grafenstein scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Nussdorf let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: TSV Grafenstein remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TSV Grafenstein VS Nussdorf
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Grafenstein

(Home)
26 Sept
Launsdorf
3 : 1
TSV Grafenstein
18 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
6 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
13 Sept
SC Landskron
1 : 4
TSV Grafenstein
04 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
4 : 1
Nussdorf
28 Aug
Matrei
2 : 2
TSV Grafenstein
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Nussdorf

(Away)
26 Sept
Nussdorf
2 : 2
Asko Kottmannsdorf
18 Sept
Dellach/Gail
3 : 0
Nussdorf
11 Sept
Nussdorf
0 : 5
Saint Michael Lavanttal
04 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
4 : 1
Nussdorf
28 Aug
SAK Klagenfurt
3 : 0
Nussdorf
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