Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSV Grunwald vs Ismaning

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Cazorla A.
23' Event
Sinabov A.
25' Event
Leugner D.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 game between TSV Grunwald and Ismaning finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Grunwald.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
TSV Grunwald
15%
Draws
59%
Ismaning
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ismaning

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ismaning come out ahead of TSV Grunwald on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ismaning's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
TSV Grunwald Clean Sheet 18%
Ismaning Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Grunwald Ismaning
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.67 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV Grunwald vs Ismaning
5:1
Oct 19, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ismaning vs TSV Grunwald
2:2
Jun 22, 2019 Club Friendly
TSV Grunwald vs Ismaning
4:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Grunwald Compare

Top Goalscorer Cazorla A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leugner D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Ismaning Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinabov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Grunwald 10 / 100
Ismaning 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Grunwald Ismaning

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ismaning Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.67 goals per match.

TSV Grunwald's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ismaning let in goals in 79% of their last 39 matches.

TSV Grunwald has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ismaning
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Grunwald

(Home)
24 May
TSV Grunwald
0 : 2
Geretsried
21 May
Geretsried
4 : 0
TSV Grunwald
17 May
TSV Grunwald
5 : 1
Ismaning
09 May
Heimstetten
5 : 1
TSV Grunwald
02 May
TSV Grunwald
0 : 6
Landsberg
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Ismaning

(Away)
19 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
1 : 0
Ismaning
12 Sept
Ismaning
4 : 2
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
03 Sept
FC Schwaig
2 : 2
Ismaning
28 Aug
SV Erlbach
2 : 0
Ismaning
22 Aug
Ismaning
4 : 0
Kirchanschoring
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Memmingen 32 17 12 3 49:21 63
2 Munich 1860 II 32 18 8 6 64:30 62
3 SV Erlbach 32 16 10 6 33:21 58
4 Pipinsried 32 18 4 10 63:39 58
5 Deisenhofen 32 17 5 10 56:45 56
6 Kottern-St. Mang 32 16 6 10 57:50 54
7 Kirchanschoring 32 15 7 10 57:46 52
8 Landsberg 32 14 2 16 64:41 44
9 Schalding 32 12 8 12 41:47 44
10 Heimstetten 32 12 5 15 78:70 41
11 Nordlingen 32 12 5 15 53:56 41
12 Turkspor Augsburg 32 10 7 15 37:59 37
13 Ismaning 32 9 8 15 35:51 35
14 TSV Grunwald 32 9 6 17 54:78 33
15 Sonthofen 32 9 5 18 39:60 32
16 Unterhaching II 32 8 7 17 32:61 31
17 Rain/Lech 32 5 5 22 39:76 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)