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TSV Kornburg vs Regensburg II

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSV Kornburg play Regensburg II in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, TSV Kornburg averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Regensburg II averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, TSV Kornburg won 1, Regensburg II won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 28, 2025 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for TSV Kornburg and 2.31 for Regensburg II. This points to a Regensburg II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
TSV Kornburg
34%
Draws
35%
Regensburg II
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Regensburg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • TSV Kornburg picked up more points recently compared to Regensburg II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
TSV Kornburg Clean Sheet 10%
Regensburg II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Kornburg Regensburg II
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 3
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Kornburg vs Regensburg II
1:4
Aug 8, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Regensburg II vs TSV Kornburg
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Regensburg II vs TSV Kornburg
1:1
Jul 26, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Kornburg vs Regensburg II
1:0
Mar 19, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Kornburg vs Regensburg II
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Kornburg 30 / 100
Regensburg II 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Kornburg Regensburg II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Regensburg II or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TSV Kornburg attacking → ← attacking Regensburg II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Kornburg scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Regensburg II let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

TSV Kornburg went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Regensburg II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 39
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Eltersdorf32212955:3065
2Cham32178758:3559
3ASV Neumarkt32185968:5059
4Gebenbach321651153:4753
5Bamberg321312754:3951
6Weiden321311857:3950
7Ingolstadt II321461264:5448
8Fortuna Regensburg321291166:5845
9Regensburg II321351459:5344
10Bayern Hof3211101156:5143
11Neudrossenfeld321251547:5441
12TSV Kornburg329131048:5040
13Wurzburger FV321071546:6237
14ATSV Erlangen321071543:6137
15Stadeln321121942:6535
16Coburg32932044:8130
17Grossschwarzenlohe32482035:6620