Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Buchbach

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Krauss J.
21' Event
Radoki M.
52' Event
Bahar S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Bayern matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
15%
Draws
67%
Buchbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buchbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Buchbach lately — more wins on the board than TSV Schwaben Augsburg.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Buchbach taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%
Buchbach Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Schwaben Augsburg Buchbach
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.32 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Buchbach
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Buchbach
2:2
Aug 22, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1:0
Mar 7, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Buchbach
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Schwaben Augsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Radoki M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Buchbach Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Schwaben Augsburg 10 / 100
Buchbach 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Schwaben Augsburg Buchbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buchbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Schwaben Augsburg scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Buchbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

TSV Schwaben Augsburg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Schwaben Augsburg VS Buchbach
0.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Schwaben Augsburg

(Home)
19 Sept
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1 : 1
Landsberg
15 Sept
Nurnberg II
5 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
11 Sept
Munich 1860
3 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
05 Sept
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
0 : 1
Memmingen
28 Aug
Ansbach
1 : 2
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Page 1 of 6

Buchbach

(Away)
18 Sept
Buchbach
3 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0
Bayern II
05 Sept
Landsberg
1 : 3
Buchbach
29 Aug
Buchbach
2 : 1
Bayreuth
21 Aug
Ansbach
1 : 3
Buchbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 9 7 2 0 22:7 23
2 Memmingen 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Munich 1860 9 4 5 0 19:10 17
4 Illertissen 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Unterhaching 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
6 Vfb Eichstatt 10 5 2 3 13:14 17
7 Vilzing 9 4 3 2 14:12 15
8 Burghausen 10 4 2 4 24:18 14
9 Eltersdorf 9 3 3 3 13:12 12
10 Augsburg II 10 3 3 4 15:23 12
11 Bayern II 9 3 2 4 9:8 11
12 1. FC Schweinfurt 10 3 2 5 15:23 11
13 Nurnberg II 9 3 1 5 17:15 10
14 Bayreuth 10 3 1 6 13:16 10
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 10 2 3 5 8:18 9
16 TSV Aubstadt 9 2 2 5 14:16 8
17 Furth II 9 2 1 6 12:16 7
18 Landsberg 9 1 4 4 9:14 7
19 Ansbach 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)