Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tuapse vs Spartak Nalchik

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Torosyan S.
46'
Sub
Nikulin A. In: Tyufyakov V.
Out: Nikulin A.
56' Event
Torosyan S.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Nalchik in this FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Nalchik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tuapse
15%
Draws
42%
Spartak Nalchik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuapse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Nalchik lately — more wins on the board than Tuapse.
  • Spartak Nalchik are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spartak Nalchik have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Tuapse Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuapse Spartak Nalchik
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 10
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Spartak Nalchik
0:4
Nov 5, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Tuapse
1:1
May 21, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Tuapse
5:1
Nov 7, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Spartak Nalchik
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuapse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Spartak Nalchik Compare

Top Goalscorer Torosyan S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sundukov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuapse 20 / 100
Spartak Nalchik 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuapse Spartak Nalchik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Nalchik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Spartak Nalchik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Spartak Nalchik's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tuapse's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartak Nalchik
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuapse

(Home)
05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0
Tuapse
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4
Spartak Nalchik
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3
Tuapse
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5
Legion Makhachkala
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0
Tuapse
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Nalchik

(Away)
26 Sept
FK Pobeda
4 : 3
Spartak Nalchik
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Angust Nazran
1 : 2
Spartak Nalchik
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
29 Aug
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Makhachkala 32 25 5 2 62:12 80
2 SKA Rostov-on-Don 32 24 4 4 71:22 76
3 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 32 21 7 4 88:24 70
4 Forte Taganrog 32 17 10 5 55:31 61
5 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 32 18 6 8 70:35 60
6 Kuban Kholding 32 15 9 8 46:31 54
7 Legion Makhachkala 32 12 10 10 44:31 46
8 Biolog 32 11 11 10 50:45 44
9 Anzhi 32 13 9 10 46:35 42
10 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 10 12 32:28 40
11 Maykop 32 7 11 14 25:44 32
12 Mashuk 32 7 10 15 47:54 31
13 Dynamo Stavropol 32 7 8 17 40:57 29
14 Tuapse 32 12 2 18 36:60 29
15 R. Volgograd 2 32 5 6 21 26:74 21
16 Alania 2 32 2 6 24 32:97 12
17 Yessentuki 32 2 4 26 16:106 10
Promotion - FNL 2022/2023 (Main)