Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tubarao vs Nacao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Tubarao Logo

Tubarao

1 - 0
FT
Nacao Logo

Nacao

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tubarao in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tubarao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tubarao
20%
Draws
80%
Nacao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tubarao lately — more wins on the board than Nacao.
  • Win probability leans Tubarao's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 19%
Nacao Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubarao Nacao
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.23 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Nacao
1:0
May 12, 2026 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Tubarao
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Tubarao
1:2
Jul 16, 2022 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Nacao
0:4
Sep 5, 2021 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Nacao
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 42 / 100
Nacao 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubarao Nacao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nacao let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Nacao lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Nacao
1.14 Goals Scored 1
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tubarao

(Home)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
Page 1 of 6

Nacao

(Away)
26 Sept
Hercilio Luz
2 : 1
Nacao
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4
Joinville
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2
Santa Catarina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)