Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Tubarao

1 - 0

Nacao

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tubarao in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tubarao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Tubarao

17%

Draws

13%

Nacao

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tubarao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Tubarao lately — more wins on the board than Nacao.
Win probability leans Tubarao's way, sitting at 70%.
Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%

Tubarao Clean Sheet 68%

Nacao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tubarao	Nacao
Matches Played	28	26
Wins	10	4
Draws	8	12
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1.63	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Catarinense 2

Tubarao vs Nacao

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

May 12, 2026 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Tubarao

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Jul 27, 2025 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Tubarao

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Jul 16, 2022 Catarinense 2

Tubarao vs Nacao

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 77 / 100

Nacao 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tubarao Nacao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Nacao conceded in 58% of 26 recent games.

Tubarao went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Nacao

1.63 Goals Scored 0.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	16	12	2	2	33:9	38
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31:18	32
3	Caravaggio	16	9	4	3	44:19	31
4	Blumenau	16	8	4	4	32:13	28
5	Tubarao	16	6	5	5	22:17	23
6	Fluminense-SC	16	5	3	8	14:21	18
7	Nacao	16	4	6	6	16:24	18
8	Gremio Juventus	16	5	2	9	16:21	17
9	Guarani de Palhoca	16	4	5	7	15:24	17
10	Jaragua-SC	16	0	1	15	6:63	1