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Tubize-Braine vs Royale Union SG

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2025/2026 Stade Leburton, Tubize
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Tepe S.
43'
Delhaye L.
46' Event
Rodriguez K.

AI Match Summary

Royale Union SG in this Belgian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tubize-Braine
20%
Draws
52%
Royale Union SG
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Royale Union SG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Royale Union SG lately — more wins on the board than Tubize-Braine.
  • Royale Union SG are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Royale Union SG arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Royale Union SG, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Royale Union SG here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tubize-Braine Clean Sheet 23%
Royale Union SG Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubize-Braine Royale Union SG
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 20
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.59 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Belgian Cup
Tubize-Braine vs Royale Union SG
0:3
Mar 3, 2019 Challenger Pro League
Royale Union SG vs Tubize-Braine
1:0
Dec 2, 2018 Challenger Pro League
Tubize-Braine vs Royale Union SG
2:0
Oct 27, 2018 Challenger Pro League
Royale Union SG vs Tubize-Braine
3:2
Sep 21, 2018 Challenger Pro League
Tubize-Braine vs Royale Union SG
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tubize-Braine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Royale Union SG Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader David P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubize-Braine 10 / 100
Royale Union SG 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubize-Braine Royale Union SG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Royale Union SG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubize-Braine found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Tubize-Braine remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Royale Union SG conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tubize-Braine VS Royale Union SG
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tubize-Braine

(Home)
03 Oct
Tubize-Braine
1 : 0
Habay La Neuve
26 Sept
Tubize-Braine
1 : 1
St. Gilloise 2
19 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 3
Tubize-Braine
12 Sept
Renaissance Mons
2 : 2
Tubize-Braine
05 Sept
Tubize-Braine
1 : 4
Union Rochefortoise
Page 1 of 6

Royale Union SG

(Away)
20 Sept
Antwerp
0 : 2
Royale Union SG
17 Sept
Plzen
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0
Lommel SK
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
RFC Liege 0
Charleroi 1
KV Mechelen 2
Lierse SK 1
RFC Seraing 1
Leuven 3
Club Brugge 6
Eendracht Aalst 1
Dender 4
OC Charleroi 2
SK Beveren 1
St. Liege 2
Tubize-Braine 0
Royale Union SG 3
Belisia Bilzen 1
Waregem 4
Genk 3
RWDM Brussels 0
Ninove 0
Anderlecht 2
Cercle Brugge 1
Kortrijk 0
Gent 5
Patro Eisden 0
Antwerp 3
Eupen 1
Knokke 0
St. Truiden 1
Beerschot VA 3
Westerlo 2
Heist 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
1/8-finals
Charleroi 2
KV Mechelen 0
Leuven 1
Club Brugge 2
Dender 3
St. Liege 2
Royale Union SG 2
Waregem 1
Genk 1
Anderlecht 3
Cercle Brugge 1
Gent 3
Antwerp 4
St. Truiden 3
Beerschot VA 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi 2
Club Brugge 0
Dender 0
Royale Union SG 2
Anderlecht 1
Gent 0
Antwerp 2
RAAL La Louviere 1
Semi-finals
Charleroi 1
Royale Union SG 4
Anderlecht 4
Antwerp 1
Final
Royale Union SG 3
Anderlecht 1