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Tucson vs Arizona United

World World

Desert Diamond Cup 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Bardsley G.
45' Event
Bevans C.
65' Event
Vargas Cortes C.

AI Match Summary

Arizona United in this Desert Diamond Cup 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arizona United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tucson
6%
Draws
4%
Arizona United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tucson

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tucson have won more games recently than Arizona United.
  • Tucson are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tucson Clean Sheet 20%
Arizona United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tucson Arizona United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2016 US Open Cup
Tucson vs Arizona United
0:5
Feb 24, 2016 Visit Tucson Sun Cup
Tucson vs Arizona United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tucson Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevans C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Arizona United Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas Cortes C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bardsley G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tucson 85 / 100
Arizona United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tucson Arizona United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tucson found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Arizona United conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Tucson stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tucson VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Kansas City31207:45
2Sporting Kansas City II31205:35
3New England Revolution31206:55
4Arizona United21103:14
5Columbus Crew30305:53
6Real Salt Lake20204:42
7Houston Dynamo20111:21
8Colorado Rapids30122:71
9Tucson10011:30