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Tucson vs Burlingame

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tucson in this USL Premier Development League 2016 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tucson
33%
Draws
27%
Burlingame
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tucson

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Burlingame haven't matched Tucson's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tucson a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Tucson have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tucson, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tucson Clean Sheet 20%
Burlingame Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tucson Burlingame
Matches Played 44 34
Wins 26 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2016 USL League Two
Tucson vs Burlingame
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tucson 40 / 100
Burlingame 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tucson Burlingame

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tucson found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (44 games).

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Burlingame has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Tucson went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tucson VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tucson

(Home)
18 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 0
Tucson
11 Jul
Tucson
2 : 1
Capo
07 Jul
Stars FC
0 : 1
Tucson
04 Jul
Tucson
4 : 1
Stars FC
01 Jul
Ventura
2 : 1
Tucson
Page 1 of 9

Burlingame

(Away)
15 Jul
San Francisco City
0 : 1
Burlingame
08 Jul
Burlingame
3 : 1
Orange County SC II
02 Jul
Southern California Eagles
1 : 3
Burlingame
01 Jul
Ventura
2 : 2
Burlingame
24 Jun
Burlingame
1 : 1
Golden State Force
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flint City-
TBD-
TBD-
Thunder Bay Chill-
Menace-
TBD-
TBD-
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC-
Oklahoma City Energy FC U23-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Florida U23-
Brave SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Midland Odessa-
Reading3
Western Pioneers1
Salem City4
South Carolina United Bantams1
Charlotte Eagles-
TBD-
Portland Phoenix1
Ocean City3
Tucson-
TBD-
Fresno FC 22
Burlingame3
Calgary-Foothills3
Sound FC1
San Diego Zest2
Golden State Force3
1/8-finals
Flint City3
Thunder Bay Chill0
Menace5
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC1
Oklahoma City Energy FC U232
FC Florida U231
Brave SC1
Midland Odessa2
Reading2
Salem City1
Charlotte Eagles0
Ocean City1
Tucson3
Burlingame2
Calgary-Foothills1
Golden State Force0
Quarter-finals
Flint City2
Menace0
Oklahoma City Energy FC U230
Midland Odessa1
Reading1
Ocean City4
Tucson1
Calgary-Foothills2
Semi-finals
Flint City3
Midland Odessa0
Ocean City0
Calgary-Foothills3
Final
Flint City3
Calgary-Foothills2