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Tucson vs Stars FC

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Tucson and Stars FC finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tucson.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Tucson
11%
Draws
9%
Stars FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Tucson

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tucson come out ahead of Stars FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tucson's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tucson have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tucson Clean Sheet 18%
Stars FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tucson Stars FC
Matches Played 33 24
Wins 17 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 USL League Two
Stars FC vs Tucson
0:1
Jul 4, 2026 USL League Two
Tucson vs Stars FC
4:1
Jul 14, 2025 USL League Two
Tucson vs Stars FC
0:0
May 21, 2025 USL League Two
Stars FC vs Tucson
2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tucson 76 / 100
Stars FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tucson Stars FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tucson's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Stars FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Tucson stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tucson VS Stars FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%