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Tucson vs Ventura

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tucson in this USL League Two 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tucson.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tucson
15%
Draws
45%
Ventura
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ventura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ventura lately — more wins on the board than Tucson.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tucson Clean Sheet 10%
Ventura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tucson Ventura
Matches Played 37 40
Wins 20 28
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.68 2.65
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 USL League Two
Ventura vs Tucson
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 USL League Two
Tucson vs Ventura
2:2
Jul 21, 2025 USL League Two
Ventura vs Tucson
2:0
Jul 4, 2025 USL League Two
Tucson vs Ventura
2:1
Jul 22, 2024 USL League Two
Tucson vs Ventura
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tucson 30 / 100
Ventura 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tucson Ventura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tucson found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (37 games).

Ventura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 40 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tucson remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tucson VS Ventura
1.88 Goals Scored 3.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tucson

(Home)
18 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 0
Tucson
11 Jul
Tucson
2 : 1
Capo
07 Jul
Stars FC
0 : 1
Tucson
04 Jul
Tucson
4 : 1
Stars FC
01 Jul
Ventura
2 : 1
Tucson
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Ventura

(Away)
26 Jul
Flint City
1 : 0
Ventura
24 Jul
Ballard
1 : 2
Ventura
19 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 6
Ventura
17 Jul
Ventura
1 : 0
Project 51O
12 Jul
Redlands United FC
1 : 1
Ventura
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