Sport Picks
Tucuman Central vs Defensores de Vilelas
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Tucumán Central, Tucuman 
Match Events
37'
37'
61'
61'
Sub
Niz L. In: Acevedo J.
Out: Niz L.
61'
61'
Sub
Rios G. In: Carballo G.
Out: Rios G.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Tucuman Central and Defensores de Vilelas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tucuman Central.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores de Vilelas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Defensores de Vilelas carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Defensores de Vilelas taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Defensores de Vilelas have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tucuman Central Clean Sheet 10%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tucuman Central | Defensores de Vilelas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 24 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.92 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Tucuman Central
4:3
May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal
Tucuman Central vs Defensores de Vilelas
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Tucuman Central
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tucuman Central Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruiz Rodriguez B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smith F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Defensores de Vilelas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tucuman Central 10 / 100
Defensores de Vilelas 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tucuman Central Defensores de Vilelas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Defensores de Vilelas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Defensores de Vilelas let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.
Tucuman Central found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (24 games).
Recent resilience: Tucuman Central stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tucuman Central VS Defensores de Vilelas
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tucuman Central
(Home) 13 Sept
Tucuman Central
0 : 4 Sportivo Las Parejas
05 Sept
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 0 Tucuman Central
29 Aug
Tucuman Central
2 : 2 Boca Unidos
23 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Tucuman Central
15 Aug
Tucuman Central
2 : 3 Atletico Escobar
Page 1 of 5
13 Sept
Tucuman Central
0 : 4 Sportivo Las Parejas
29 Aug
Tucuman Central
2 : 2 Boca Unidos
15 Aug
Tucuman Central
2 : 3 Atletico Escobar
08 Aug
Tucuman Central
1 : 1 El Linqueno
26 Jul
Tucuman Central
1 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 3
Defensores de Vilelas
(Away) 19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3 Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1 Defensores de Vilelas
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0 El Linqueno
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 5
19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3 Defensores de Vilelas
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1 Defensores de Vilelas
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
08 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
12 Jul
Bartolome Mitre
1 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
