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Tudelano vs Alfaro

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Naranjo G.
54' Event
Alayeto I.
62' Event
Morillas Idoate R.

AI Match Summary

Tudelano in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tudelano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tudelano
15%
Draws
28%
Alfaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tudelano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfaro haven't matched Tudelano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tudelano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Tudelano Clean Sheet 68%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tudelano Alfaro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.71 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Alfaro vs Tudelano
0:4
Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Alfaro
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Tudelano
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Alfaro
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Tudelano
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tudelano Compare

Top Goalscorer Naranjo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alayeto I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Morillas Idoate R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tudelano 95 / 100
Alfaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tudelano Alfaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tudelano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tudelano scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Alfaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Alfaro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tudelano VS Alfaro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tudelano

(Home)
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
16 May
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1
Tudelano
09 May
Tudelano
0 : 1
Real Oviedo B
03 May
SD Logrones
0 : 1
Tudelano
26 Apr
Tudelano
1 : 2
Alaves B
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Alfaro

(Away)
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
Alfaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)