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Tudelano vs Real Oviedo B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Tudela, Tudela
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
de la Hera O.

AI Match Summary

Real Oviedo B in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tudelano
20%
Draws
40%
Real Oviedo B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Oviedo B lately — more wins on the board than Tudelano.
  • Model gives Tudelano a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Real Oviedo B arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Oviedo B, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Real Oviedo B here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Tudelano Clean Sheet 68%
Real Oviedo B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tudelano Real Oviedo B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Oviedo B vs Tudelano
2:1
May 9, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Tudelano vs Real Oviedo B
0:1
Feb 24, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Oviedo B vs Tudelano
2:1
Oct 7, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Real Oviedo B
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tudelano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Real Oviedo B Compare

Top Goalscorer de la Hera O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tudelano 59 / 100
Real Oviedo B 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tudelano Real Oviedo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tudelano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tudelano found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Real Oviedo B has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Tudelano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tudelano VS Real Oviedo B
1.57 Goals Scored 2.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tudelano

(Home)
04 Oct
Tudelano
1 : 2
Barcelona B
27 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 3
Tudelano
20 Sept
Tudelano
2 : 1
CE Manresa
13 Sept
Girona B
3 : 1
Tudelano
06 Sept
Tudelano
0 : 0
UD Logrones B
Page 1 of 6

Real Oviedo B

(Away)
04 Oct
Compostela
1 : 2
Real Oviedo B
27 Sept
Real Oviedo B
3 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1
Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Real Oviedo B
05 Sept
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1
Eibar B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B 2
Jaen 3
Baleares 4
Coruxo FC 1
Deportiva Minera 0
CD Coria 1
Real Oviedo B 3
Tudelano 1
UD Logrones 4
Getafe B 1
San Sebastian Reyes 3
Alcoyano 1
UD Ourense 2
Reus FC Reddis 1
Conquense 1
Xerez CD 1
Aguilas FC 4
Utebo FC 2
UD Poblense 3
Numancia 1
Final
Jaen 4
Baleares 2
CD Coria 4
Real Oviedo B 0
UD Logrones 2
San Sebastian Reyes 1
UD Ourense 3
Conquense 0
Aguilas FC 2
UD Poblense 1