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Tuen Mun vs Sun Hei

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Senior Shield 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Sun Hei advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tuen Mun
15%
Draws
85%
Sun Hei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sun Hei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sun Hei come out ahead of Tuen Mun on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Sun Hei arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sun Hei, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tuen Mun Clean Sheet 16%
Sun Hei Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuen Mun Sun Hei
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.15 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2013 Senior Shield
Sun Hei vs Tuen Mun
2:1
Mar 4, 2012 Premier League
Sun Hei vs Tuen Mun
1:2
Dec 24, 2011 Senior Shield
Sun Hei vs Tuen Mun
2:2
Dec 11, 2011 Senior Shield
Tuen Mun vs Sun Hei
0:1
Sep 17, 2011 Premier League
Tuen Mun vs Sun Hei
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuen Mun 31 / 100
Sun Hei 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuen Mun Sun Hei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sun Hei conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Tuen Mun's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Sun Hei's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tuen Mun VS Sun Hei
0.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuen Mun

(Home)
22 Dec
Tuen Mun
1 : 2
Dreams Metro Gallery
15 Dec
South China
1 : 0
Tuen Mun
30 Nov
Tuen Mun
0 : 5
Kitchee
02 Nov
Sun Hei
2 : 1
Tuen Mun
26 Oct
Pegasus
6 : 0
Tuen Mun
Page 1 of 4

Sun Hei

(Away)
12 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 1
Eastern AA
07 Dec
Southern District
2 : 1
Sun Hei
02 Nov
Sun Hei
2 : 1
Tuen Mun
01 May
Yangon United
2 : 0
Sun Hei
24 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 3
New Radiant
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tuen Mun 3
King Fung Football Club 0
TBD -
Citizen -
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Sun Hei -
Pegasus 2
Kitchee 1
TBD -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Sham Shui Po -
TBD -
TBD -
South China -
Quarter-finals
Tuen Mun 4
Citizen 3
Tai Po 2
Sun Hei 4
Pegasus 9
Hong Kong Rangers 0
Sham Shui Po 2
South China 3
Semi-finals
Tuen Mun 2
Sun Hei 3
Pegasus 2
South China 3
Final
Sun Hei 2
South China 1