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Tuggeranong United vs Brindabella Blues

Australia Australia

NPL ACT Kambah Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Yariyari K.
67' Event
Davies X.
71' Event
Davies X.

AI Match Summary

The NPL ACT game between Tuggeranong United and Brindabella Blues finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuggeranong United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tuggeranong United
6%
Draws
4%
Brindabella Blues
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tuggeranong United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tuggeranong United come out ahead of Brindabella Blues on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tuggeranong United a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL ACT form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tuggeranong United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 17%
Brindabella Blues Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuggeranong United Brindabella Blues
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 2 1
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 2 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Brindabella Blues
5:1
Oct 2, 2022 Capital Premier League
Tuggeranong United vs Brindabella Blues
2:1
Aug 27, 2022 Capital Premier League
Brindabella Blues vs Tuggeranong United
1:1
Jul 3, 2022 Capital Premier League
Tuggeranong United vs Brindabella Blues
3:0
May 7, 2022 Capital Premier League
Brindabella Blues vs Tuggeranong United
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuggeranong United Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies X.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yariyari K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Brindabella Blues Compare

Top Goalscorer John C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuggeranong United 84 / 100
Brindabella Blues 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuggeranong United Brindabella Blues

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tuggeranong United scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Brindabella Blues conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tuggeranong United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuggeranong United VS Brindabella Blues
2 Goals Scored 0.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canberra Croatia15121243:1637
2Monaro Panthers15120353:2236
3Tigers FC16102443:2032
4Canberra Juventus14100432:2130
5Tuggeranong United14100434:2930
6Queanbeyan City1481530:2125
7Canberra Olympic1551932:4116
8O'Connor Knights15501015:3015
9Belconnen United15221123:348
10Brindabella Blues1420127:446
11Canberra White Eagles15111311:454