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Tuilla vs Llanera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Busto M.
45' Event
Estebanez Artime M.
79' Event
Monasterio M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Tuilla and Llanera finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llanera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tuilla
20%
Draws
51%
Llanera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llanera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llanera come out ahead of Tuilla on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Llanera have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 11%
Llanera Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuilla Llanera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 25
Draws 5 2
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 0.97 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Tuilla
4:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Llanera
1:2
Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Llanera
1:4
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Tuilla
2:0
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Tuilla
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Monasterio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Llanera Compare

Top Goalscorer Busto M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Estebanez Artime M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuilla 30 / 100
Llanera 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuilla Llanera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Tuilla's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Llanera has conceded goals in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Tuilla has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tuilla VS Llanera
1.57 Goals Scored 2
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.13
86% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuilla

(Home)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
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Llanera

(Away)
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
18 Aug
Gijon B
2 : 2
Llanera
14 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanera
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)