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Tuilla vs Llanes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Monasterio M.
55' Event
Alvarez P.
64' Event
Gonzalez D.

AI Match Summary

Tuilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tuilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tuilla
15%
Draws
36%
Llanes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Llanes average 1.45 goals a game right now, well clear of Tuilla's 1.
  • Win probability leans Tuilla's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Tuilla here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 68%
Llanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuilla Llanes
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Llanes
3:2
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Tuilla
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Tuilla
0:2
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Llanes
5:1
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Llanes
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Monasterio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Llanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roldan I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuilla 59 / 100
Llanes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuilla Llanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanes let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tuilla's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Away concern: Llanes has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tuilla VS Llanes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuilla

(Home)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
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Llanes

(Away)
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Llanes
1 : 4
Covadonga
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanes
19 Apr
Llanes
0 : 1
Llanera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)