Sport Picks
Tuilla vs Union Club Ceares
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
26'
26'
Monasterio M.
65'
65'
Ferreiro P.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Tuilla and Union Club Ceares finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Club Ceares
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Union Club Ceares come out ahead of Tuilla on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Tuilla taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 15%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tuilla | Union Club Ceares |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Union Club Ceares
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Tuilla
2:1
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Union Club Ceares
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Tuilla
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Union Club Ceares
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tuilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Monasterio M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Union Club Ceares Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreiro P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tuilla 35 / 100
Union Club Ceares 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tuilla Union Club Ceares
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tuilla scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Union Club Ceares let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Union Club Ceares lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Tuilla VS Union Club Ceares
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tuilla
(Home) 10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3 Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0 Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0 Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0 Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1 Tuilla
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3 Caudal Deportivo
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0 Real Titanico
02 Apr
Tuilla
3 : 2 Llanes
22 Mar
Tuilla
1 : 0 Gijon B
08 Mar
Tuilla
0 : 1 L Entregu CF
Page 1 of 3
Union Club Ceares
(Away) 26 Sept
Club Siero
2 : 0 Union Club Ceares
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4 CD Colunga
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1 Langreo
10 May
Club Siero
0 : 2 Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Club Siero
2 : 0 Union Club Ceares
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
10 May
Club Siero
0 : 2 Union Club Ceares
26 Apr
Gijon Industrial
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2 Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanera | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 71:18 | 91 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 88:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 79:29 | 67 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 59:39 | 66 |
| 5 | CD Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 46:29 | 55 |
| 6 | EI San Martin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:36 | 51 |
| 7 | L Entregu CF | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | 45 |
| 9 | Praviano | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:49 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Colunga | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Llanes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 44:51 | 37 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 21:40 | 33 |
| 14 | Gijon Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:57 | 32 |
| 15 | Lenense | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:58 | 32 |
| 16 | Navarro | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 38:53 | 31 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 31:60 | 27 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 22:74 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
