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Tuilla vs Union Club Ceares

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Monasterio M.
65' Event
Ferreiro P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Tuilla and Union Club Ceares finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tuilla
39%
Draws
30%
Union Club Ceares
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Club Ceares come out ahead of Tuilla on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 22%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuilla Union Club Ceares
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Union Club Ceares
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Tuilla
2:1
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Union Club Ceares
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Tuilla
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Union Club Ceares
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Monasterio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Union Club Ceares Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreiro P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuilla 32 / 100
Union Club Ceares 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuilla Union Club Ceares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tuilla scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Union Club Ceares let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Solid form: Tuilla remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tuilla VS Union Club Ceares
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuilla

(Home)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
Page 1 of 6

Union Club Ceares

(Away)
10 May
Club Siero
0 : 2
Union Club Ceares
03 May
Union Club Ceares
3 : 0
Navarro
26 Apr
Gijon Industrial
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
18 Apr
Union Club Ceares
3 : 2
Praviano
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)