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Tukums 2000 2 vs FK Metta

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Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tukums 2000 2 play FK Metta in the Nakotnes liga. FK Metta are favorites here. Recently, Tukums 2000 2 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. FK Metta averaged 3.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Tukums 2000 2 won 0, FK Metta won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Tukums 2000 2 and 3.13 for FK Metta. This points to a FK Metta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tukums 2000 2
6%
Draws
90%
FK Metta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Metta has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tukums 2000 2.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FK Metta.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Nakotnes liga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 2 FK Metta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 1.5 3.63
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs FK Metta
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzeguze R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Metta Compare

Top Goalscorer Saleh S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dzenitis O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 2 10 / 100
FK Metta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 2 FK Metta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 2 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

FK Metta let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tukums 2000 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FK Metta lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 2 VS FK Metta
1.5 Goals Scored 3.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334