Sport Picks
Match Events
50'
50'
Fezui A.
Assist: Lakis R.
54'
54'
Kaira D.
Assist: Uzis K.
AI Match Summary
The 1. Liga game between Tukums 2000 2 and FK Smiltene finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tukums 2000 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tukums 2000 2 come out ahead of FK Smiltene on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tukums 2000 2 | FK Smiltene |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.87 | 2.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs FK Smiltene
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Tukums 2000 2
0:3
May 24, 2025 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs FK Smiltene
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs FK Smiltene
1:2
Apr 28, 2024 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Tukums 2000 2
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tukums 2000 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaira D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
FK Smiltene Compare
Top Goalscorer Fezui A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tukums 2000 2 30 / 100
FK Smiltene 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tukums 2000 2 FK Smiltene
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Smiltene Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tukums 2000 2 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
FK Smiltene let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
FK Smiltene lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tukums 2000 2 VS FK Smiltene
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
3.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Tukums 2000 2
(Home) 26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0 JFK Ventspils
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1 Rezekne
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0 Tukums 2000 2
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3 Leevon PPK
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2 Tukums 2000 2
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0 JFK Ventspils
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1 Rezekne
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3 Leevon PPK
03 Aug
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 1 Alberts JDFS
20 Jul
Tukums 2000 2
2 : 0 RFS 2
Page 1 of 4
FK Smiltene
(Away) 19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2 FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1 Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2 FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6 FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2 FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2 FK Smiltene
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2 FK Smiltene
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2 FK Smiltene
02 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 2 FK Smiltene
04 Jul
Marupe
2 : 1 FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Metta | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 89:17 | 54 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 60:23 | 51 |
| 3 | Leevon PPK | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43:25 | 49 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 50:23 | 47 |
| 5 | Alberts JDFS | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 42:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Marupe | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 34:32 | 29 |
| 7 | Skanste | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 43:42 | 26 |
| 8 | Riga FC 2 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29:37 | 26 |
| 9 | Super Nova 2 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28:32 | 25 |
| 10 | Tukums 2000 2 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27:60 | 18 |
| 11 | FK Smiltene | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 29:57 | 16 |
| 12 | RFS 2 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 34:62 | 15 |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21:41 | 15 |
| 14 | Rezekne | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17:64 | 6 |
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