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Tukums 2000 2 vs JFK Ventspils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Samoilovs B.
Assist: Shigema K.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Tukums 2000 2 and JFK Ventspils finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tukums 2000 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tukums 2000 2
15%
Draws
34%
JFK Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tukums 2000 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • JFK Ventspils haven't matched Tukums 2000 2's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 2 JFK Ventspils
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.41 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.72 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs JFK Ventspils
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Tukums 2000 2
2:2
Aug 22, 2025 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Tukums 2000 2
4:1
Apr 21, 2025 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs JFK Ventspils
1:3
Aug 2, 2024 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Tukums 2000 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samoilovs B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

JFK Ventspils Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 2 29 / 100
JFK Ventspils 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 2 JFK Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tukums 2000 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 2 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

JFK Ventspils has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: JFK Ventspils has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 2 VS JFK Ventspils
1.25 Goals Scored 1
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tukums 2000 2

(Home)
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0
JFK Ventspils
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
Page 1 of 6

JFK Ventspils

(Away)
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0
JFK Ventspils
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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