Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025

Tukums 2000 2

0 - 4

Riga Mariners

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Sirbu D.

22'

Sub

Ansevics E. In: Maulins A.

Out: Ansevics E.

46'

Sub

Romanovskis R. In: Grinfogels J.

Out: Romanovskis R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Riga Mariners in this Nakotnes liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga Mariners.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Tukums 2000 2

Draws

90%

Riga Mariners

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Riga Mariners lately — more wins on the board than Tukums 2000 2.
Model gives Riga Mariners a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Riga Mariners have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tukums 2000 2	Riga Mariners
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	6	22
Draws	3	7
Losses	21	4
Goals Scored	1.5	3
Goals Conceded	2.63	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Tukums 2000 2 vs Riga Mariners

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

1:3

Sep 26, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Tukums 2000 2 vs Riga Mariners

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 1 - 0

0:4

May 17, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Riga Mariners vs Tukums 2000 2

Possession: 57% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Sirbu D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pavlovskis A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.73

Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 2 10 / 100

Riga Mariners 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tukums 2000 2 Riga Mariners

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 2 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Riga Mariners has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Tukums 2000 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 2 VS Riga Mariners

1.5 Goals Scored 3

2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ogre United	26	18	4	4	66:20	58
2	Alberts JDFS	26	17	7	2	60:24	58
3	Riga Mariners	26	18	4	4	74:34	58
4	JFK Ventspils	26	11	10	5	40:29	43
5	RFS 2	26	11	8	7	46:31	41
6	Skanste	26	11	7	8	36:39	40
7	Leevon PPK	26	10	6	10	40:40	36
8	Marupe	26	10	2	14	30:33	32
9	Rezekne	26	8	7	11	36:57	31
10	FK Smiltene	26	8	4	14	46:48	28
11	Riga FC 2	26	6	6	14	35:43	24
12	Tukums 2000 2	26	7	2	17	37:60	23
13	AFA Olaine	26	6	4	16	39:88	22
14	Augsdaugavas	26	3	5	18	19:58	14