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Tukums 2000 vs FK Auda Riga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Tukuma pilsētas stadions, Tukums
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tukums 2000 host FK Auda Riga in the Virsliga. This has FK Auda Riga written all over it on paper. FK Auda Riga have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Tukums 2000 have conceded 2 and scored 1.36. Head-to-head, Tukums 2000 have won 3 to FK Auda Riga's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.56, favoring FK Auda Riga. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Tukums 2000
30%
Draws
51%
FK Auda Riga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tukums 2000 haven't matched FK Auda Riga's recent run of results.
  • FK Auda Riga are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 15%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 FK Auda Riga
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 5 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.36 1.74
Goals Conceded 2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Tukums 2000
3:0
Jun 17, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs FK Auda Riga
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Tukums 2000
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Tukums 2000
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs FK Auda Riga
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 27 / 100
FK Auda Riga 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 FK Auda Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

FK Auda Riga has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Tukums 2000 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 VS FK Auda Riga
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tukums 2000

(Home)
10 Oct
Tukums 2000
0 : 2
Riga FC
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
Page 1 of 6

FK Auda Riga

(Away)
12 Oct
FK Liepaja
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 32 25 5 2 79:24 80
2 Riga FC 32 23 7 2 88:30 76
3 FK Auda Riga 32 19 7 6 52:32 64
4 FK Liepaja 32 12 7 13 43:46 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 11 9 12 37:36 42
6 Super Nova 32 11 5 16 31:45 38
7 Jelgava 32 8 8 16 34:53 32
8 Grobina 32 5 11 16 22:54 26
9 Tukums 2000 32 5 9 18 44:63 24
10 Ogre United 32 4 6 22 31:78 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)