Sport Picks
Tukums 2000 vs Grobina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Latvia
Virsliga Tukuma pilsētas stadions, Tukums 
Match Events
26'
26'
Corryn M.
Assist: Tyshchenko I.
34'
34'
Sub
Reingolcs R. In: Melkis R.
Out: Reingolcs R.
45'
45'
Deruzinskis R.
AI Match Summary
The Virsliga game between Tukums 2000 and Grobina finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grobina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Tukums 2000's 1.45 goals per match outpaces what Grobina have produced (0.81).
- Grobina are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 16%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tukums 2000 | Grobina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs Grobina
1:1
Jul 5, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Tukums 2000
3:1
May 15, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Tukums 2000
3:3
Apr 5, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs Grobina
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Virsliga
Grobina vs Tukums 2000
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tukums 2000 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Grobina Compare
Top Goalscorer Corryn M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tukums 2000 28 / 100
Grobina 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tukums 2000 Grobina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Grobina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tukums 2000 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Grobina has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Tukums 2000 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tukums 2000 VS Grobina
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Tukums 2000
(Home) 20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1 Grobina
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0 Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1 Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4 Jelgava
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0 Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1 Grobina
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1 Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4 Jelgava
02 Aug
Tukums 2000
2 : 1 FK Liepaja
27 Jul
Tukums 2000
0 : 1 RFS
Page 1 of 4
Grobina
(Away) 20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1 Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0 Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1 Grobina
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1 Grobina
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Grobina
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1 Grobina
17 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2 Grobina
10 Aug
RFS
6 : 1 Grobina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 71:22 | 74 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 86:30 | 73 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49:30 | 61 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 41:43 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35:35 | 39 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 29:40 | 35 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32:49 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobina | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21:52 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 30:76 | 18 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)
