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Tukums 2000 vs RFS

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Tukuma pilsētas stadions, Tukums
Tukums 2000 Logo

Tukums 2000

0 - 1
FT
RFS Logo

RFS

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lemajic D.
Assist: Zelenkovs D.
22'
Sub
Shibata S. In: Valmiers D.
Out: Shibata S.
39'
Valmiers D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

RFS in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Tukums 2000
20%
Draws
58%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Tukums 2000 haven't matched RFS's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans RFS's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors RFS here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 10%
RFS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 RFS
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 23
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1.45 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs RFS
0:1
May 25, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Tukums 2000
3:1
Apr 13, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs RFS
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs RFS
2:4
Jul 26, 2025 Virsliga
RFS vs Tukums 2000
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tukums 2000 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemajic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 10 / 100
RFS 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: RFS conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Tukums 2000 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 VS RFS
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tukums 2000

(Home)
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Tukums 2000
08 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6

RFS

(Away)
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
23 Aug
RFS
3 : 3
Riga FC
16 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 1
RFS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 22 4 2 68:20 70
2 Riga FC 29 20 7 2 84:30 67
3 FK Auda Riga 29 17 6 6 47:29 57
4 FK Liepaja 30 12 6 12 41:43 42
5 BFC Daugavpils 29 10 8 11 34:33 38
6 Super Nova 28 10 5 13 29:38 35
7 Jelgava 30 8 8 14 32:48 32
8 Grobina 30 5 10 15 20:51 25
9 Tukums 2000 30 5 8 17 43:60 23
10 Ogre United 29 3 6 20 29:75 15
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)