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Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Vidder G.
26' Event
Alunurm T.
36' Event
Vidder G.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tulevik and Tallinna Kalev U21 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tulevik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tulevik
15%
Draws
34%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tulevik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tulevik come out ahead of Tallinna Kalev U21 on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Tulevik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Tulevik Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tulevik Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 2.41 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tulevik
2:1
May 10, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev U21
4:3
Mar 21, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tulevik
1:2
Oct 23, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tulevik
7:2
Sep 2, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tulevik Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidder G.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Esna J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alunurm T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tulevik 83 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tulevik Tallinna Kalev U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tulevik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tulevik found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Tallinna Kalev U21 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Tulevik has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tulevik VS Tallinna Kalev U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tulevik

(Home)
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
10 Sept
Tammeka Tartu U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
30 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 1
Tulevik
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Tallinna Kalev U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 1
Tulevik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 30 18 2 10 75:52 56
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 30 14 5 11 80:61 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 30 7 5 18 60:77 26
10 Legion 30 3 3 24 26:113 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)