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Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Vidder G.
26' Event
Alunurm T.
36' Event
Vidder G.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tulevik and Tallinna Kalev U21 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tulevik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tulevik
30%
Draws
34%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tulevik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tulevik come out ahead of Tallinna Kalev U21 on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tulevik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Tulevik Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tulevik Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 2.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev U21
4:3
Mar 21, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tulevik
1:2
Oct 23, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tulevik
7:2
Sep 2, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:1
May 25, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tulevik
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tulevik Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidder G.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Esna J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alunurm T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tulevik 34 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tulevik Tallinna Kalev U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tulevik found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Tallinna Kalev U21 has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Difficult form: Tallinna Kalev U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tulevik VS Tallinna Kalev U21
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Narva U2119112648:2935
3Tulevik19111755:3934
4Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2120102857:4632
6Levadia U1920102848:3932
7Tartu Kalev20911054:4228
8Tabasalu20901133:5227
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion19311518:7710