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Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Saag K.
14' Event
Vidder G.
18' Event
Metsmaa J.

AI Match Summary

Tulevik in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tulevik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tulevik
15%
Draws
34%
Tartu Kalev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tulevik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tartu Kalev lately — more wins on the board than Tulevik.
  • Model gives Tulevik a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Tulevik Clean Sheet 12%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tulevik Tartu Kalev
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 2.38 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.28 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev
6:1
Aug 8, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tulevik
4:2
Jun 13, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tulevik
3:4
Apr 3, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev
1:3
Oct 6, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tulevik Compare

Top Goalscorer Saag K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vidder G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Villems M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tulevik 83 / 100
Tartu Kalev 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tulevik Tartu Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tulevik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tulevik scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Tartu Kalev conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Tulevik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tulevik VS Tartu Kalev
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tulevik

(Home)
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
10 Sept
Tammeka Tartu U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
Page 1 of 6

Tartu Kalev

(Away)
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)