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Tullamore vs Carrigaline Utd

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tullamore
15%
Draws
21%
Carrigaline Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tullamore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tullamore come out ahead of Carrigaline Utd on wins alone.
  • Tullamore are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tullamore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tullamore Clean Sheet 16%
Carrigaline Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tullamore Carrigaline Utd
Matches Played 10 8
Wins 3 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.3 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2009 FAI Cup
Carrigaline Utd vs Tullamore
2:1
Apr 25, 2009 FAI Cup
Tullamore vs Carrigaline Utd
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tullamore 84 / 100
Carrigaline Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tullamore Carrigaline Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tullamore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Carrigaline Utd conceded in 88% of 8 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Tullamore scored in 70% of their last 10 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Tullamore went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tullamore VS Carrigaline Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tullamore

(Home)
05 Jun
Tullamore
1 : 3
Salthill
16 May
Tullamore
2 : 1
Fairview Rangers
13 Apr
Monaghan United
6 : 1
Tullamore
27 Mar
Tullamore
3 : 2
Carlow
25 Mar
Tullamore
4 : 1
Cherry Orchard
Page 1 of 2

Carrigaline Utd

(Away)
19 Jul
Carrigaline Utd
1 : 2
Wilton United
03 Apr
Carrigaline Utd
0 : 5
Bluebell Utd
26 Apr
Avondale United
4 : 1
Carrigaline Utd
13 Jun
Waterford
6 : 0
Carrigaline Utd
23 May
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 2
Carrigaline Utd
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 4
Cork City 3
Ballymun Utd 0
Derry City 6
Dundalk 3
Mervue United 1
Mayfield Utd 1
Bohemians 8
St. Patricks 1
Limerick 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Monaghan United 6
Crumlin Utd 2
Shelbourne 1
Carrigaline Utd 0
Waterford 6
Bray 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Salthill 1
Tralee 2
Galway United 3
Finn Harps 0
Wexford 4
Longford 5
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 1
Arklow 1
UC Dublin 3
Athlone 2
Kildare County 1
Blarney Utd 0
Sporting Fingal 2
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 0
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Monaghan United 0
Crumlin Utd 0
Waterford 2
Bray 2
Tralee 0
Galway United 0
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 1
Sporting Fingal 4
Quarter-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Waterford 3
Bray 2
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sporting Fingal 4
Semi-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Waterford 0
Bray 2
Sporting Fingal 4
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Sporting Fingal 2