Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tuna Luso U20 vs SD Sparta U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2024
Tuna Luso U20 Logo

Tuna Luso U20

4 - 0
FT
SD Sparta U20 Logo

SD Sparta U20

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Gilvan
42' Event
Mena Y.
74' Event
Fabricio
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tuna Luso U20 in this Copa do Brasil U20 2024 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tuna Luso U20
30%
Draws
31%
SD Sparta U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tuna Luso U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Tuna Luso U20 have won more games recently than SD Sparta U20.
  • Win probability leans Tuna Luso U20's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Tuna Luso U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tuna Luso U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Tuna Luso U20 Clean Sheet 19%
SD Sparta U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuna Luso U20 SD Sparta U20
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 20 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.84 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.92 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2024 Copa do Brasil U20
Tuna Luso U20 vs SD Sparta U20
4:0
Oct 16, 2024 Copa do Brasil U20
SD Sparta U20 vs Tuna Luso U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuna Luso U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilvan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mena Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.25
Avg xA / game 1.46

SD Sparta U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuna Luso U20 76 / 100
SD Sparta U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuna Luso U20 SD Sparta U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuna Luso U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tuna Luso U20 scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

SD Sparta U20 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 22 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tuna Luso U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuna Luso U20 VS SD Sparta U20
3.5 Goals Scored 1.83
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuna Luso U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Tuna Luso U20
3 : 0
Batalhao U20
12 Jan
Guanabara City U20
1 : 0
Tuna Luso U20
09 Jan
Botafogo SP U20
1 : 0
Tuna Luso U20
06 Jan
Tuna Luso U20
1 : 1
Santa Cruz U20
03 Jan
CA Bandeirante U20
0 : 0
Tuna Luso U20
Page 1 of 7

SD Sparta U20

(Away)
01 Jun
Uniao Carmolandense U20
5 : 0
SD Sparta U20
25 May
SD Sparta U20
1 : 3
Uniao Carmolandense U20
17 May
SD Sparta U20
1 : 3
Araguaina U20
03 May
Guarai SC U20
2 : 2
SD Sparta U20
01 May
SD Sparta U20
4 : 1
Tocantins U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Goias U20 3
Vasco U20 2
Flamengo RJ U20 8
Porto Vitoria U20 1
America RN U20 0
Retro U20 2
Bahia U20 8
Tiradentes-PI U20 0
Fast Clube U20 1
SD Sparta U20 2
Tuna Luso U20 3
Rondoniense SC U20 2
Gremio U20 1
Criciuma U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 6
Londrina U20 1
Nautico FC U20 2
Madureira U20 1
Sampaio Correa U20 2
Macapa U20 3
CSA U20 3
Lagarto U20 0
Ceara U20 5
Serra Branca U20 0
Coritiba U20 2
EC Juventude U20 1
Palmeiras U20 12
Uniao ABC U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Coimbra Sports U20 2
Cuiaba U20 5
Gama U20 0
1/8-finals
Goias U20 5
Flamengo RJ U20 3
Retro U20 0
Bahia U20 5
SD Sparta U20 0
Tuna Luso U20 6
Criciuma U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 7
Nautico FC U20 1
Macapa U20 2
CSA U20 0
Ceara U20 10
Coritiba U20 3
Palmeiras U20 4
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 5
Cuiaba U20 3
Quarter-finals
Goias U20 4
Bahia U20 6
Tuna Luso U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 3
Macapa U20 1
Ceara U20 5
Palmeiras U20 3
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 2
Semi-finals
Bahia U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 4
Ceara U20 1
Palmeiras U20 7
Final
Sao Paulo U20 3
Palmeiras U20 2