Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tuna Luso vs Bragantino PA

Brazil Brazil

Paraense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Wander
41' Event
Alves J.
86' Event
Joao Victor

AI Match Summary

The Paraense 2025 game between Tuna Luso and Bragantino PA finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuna Luso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tuna Luso
40%
Draws
29%
Bragantino PA
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Tuna Luso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paraense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tuna Luso Clean Sheet 14%
Bragantino PA Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuna Luso Bragantino PA
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Paraense
Bragantino PA vs Tuna Luso
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Paraense
Tuna Luso vs Bragantino PA
2:1
Jan 24, 2024 Paraense
Tuna Luso vs Bragantino PA
2:2
Feb 16, 2023 Paraense
Bragantino PA vs Tuna Luso
3:3
Mar 23, 2022 Paraense
Tuna Luso vs Bragantino PA
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuna Luso Compare

Top Goalscorer Wander
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alves J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bragantino PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuna Luso 31 / 100
Bragantino PA 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuna Luso Bragantino PA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuna Luso's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Bragantino PA has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Tuna Luso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tuna Luso VS Bragantino PA
1.38 Goals Scored 1.33
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Remo852117:417
2Paysandu PA852115:717
3Bragantino PA852111:617
4Castanhal834110:713
5Tuna Luso832312:1211
6Aguia De Maraba83239:1011
7Capitao Poco82519:911
8Santa Rosa83147:910
9Cameta83146:1110
10Sao Francisco82069:166
11Independente81345:126
12Caete81075:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paysandu PA852115:717
2Cameta83146:1110
3Sao Francisco82069:166
4Caete81075:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Remo852117:417
2Bragantino PA852111:617
3Castanhal834110:713
4Independente81345:126
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tuna Luso832312:1211
2Aguia De Maraba83239:1011
3Capitao Poco82519:911
4Santa Rosa83147:910