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Tunisia U17 vs Ethiopia U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with Tunisia U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tunisia U17
44%
Draws
20%
Ethiopia U17
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethiopia U17 haven't matched Tunisia U17's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Tunisia U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia U17, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ethiopia U17 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tunisia U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Ethiopia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia U17 Ethiopia U17
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Tunisia U17 vs Ethiopia U17
0:1
Oct 28, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Tunisia U17 vs Ethiopia U17
5:1
Oct 13, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Ethiopia U17 vs Tunisia U17
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia U17 36 / 100
Ethiopia U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia U17 Ethiopia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Tunisia U17 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Ethiopia U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 16 matches.

Difficult form: Ethiopia U17 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia U17 VS Ethiopia U17
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia U17

(Home)
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Tunisia U17
1 : 2
Egypt U17
13 May
Morocco U17
1 : 1
Tunisia U17
15 Nov
Austria U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
09 Nov
Belgium U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
Page 1 of 7

Ethiopia U17

(Away)
23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mozambique U17
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0
Ethiopia U17
02 Oct
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U17-
TBD-
Reunion U170
Namibia U176
Ethiopia U176
Central Africa U170
TBD-
Tunisia U17-
Botswana U173
Malawi U173
TBD-
Rwanda U17-
Sudan U170
Somalia U171
Somalia U17-
Algeria U17-
Senegal U17-
TBD-
TBD-
Sierra Leone U17-
Chad U176
Equatorial Guinea U170
TBD-
Ivory Coast U17-
Tanzania U17-
TBD-
TBD-
Egypt U17-
Zimbabwe U174
Mozambique U172
TBD-
Congo U17-
Gabon U17-
TBD-
TBD-
Angola U17-
Cameroon U17-
TBD-
Liberia U170
Benin U173
South Africa U17-
TBD-
TBD-
Zambia U17-
Gambia U17-
TBD-
TBD-
Ghana U17-
Nigeria U1710
Niger U171
TBD-
Guinea U17-
Mauritius U176
Libya U174
TBD-
Mali U17-
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U177
Namibia U170
Ethiopia U174
Tunisia U175
Botswana U172
Rwanda U171
Sudan U170
Algeria U173
Senegal U176
Sierra Leone U170
Chad U170
Ivory Coast U176
Tanzania U176
Egypt U170
Zimbabwe U171
Congo U172
Gabon U175
Angola U174
Cameroon U172
Benin U175
South Africa U172
Zambia U171
Gambia U170
Ghana U176
Nigeria U177
Guinea U170
Mauritius U173
Mali U176
Final
Burkina Faso U172
Tunisia U174
Botswana U173
Algeria U172
Senegal U172
Ivory Coast U173
Tanzania U171
Congo U172
Gabon U173
Benin U172
South Africa U173
Ghana U175
Nigeria U174
Mali U170