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Tunisia U23 vs Benin U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tunisia U23
15%
Draws
48%
Benin U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benin U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Benin U23 haven't matched Tunisia U23's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Tunisia U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tunisia U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Tunisia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Benin U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia U23 Benin U23
Matches Played 25 5
Wins 11 3
Draws 4 0
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.2 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.08 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Benin U23 vs Tunisia U23
1:0
Sep 29, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Tunisia U23 vs Benin U23
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia U23 41 / 100
Benin U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia U23 Benin U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunisia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunisia U23's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Benin U23 let in goals in 60% of their last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Tunisia U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia U23 VS Benin U23
1.88 Goals Scored 1.2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 20%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia U23

(Home)
05 Oct
Benin U23
1 : 0
Tunisia U23
29 Sept
Tunisia U23
2 : 0
Benin U23
13 Jun
Portugal U20
2 : 0
Tunisia U23
10 Jun
Colombia U19
0 : 0
Tunisia U23
07 Jun
China U20
0 : 3
Tunisia U23
Page 1 of 5

Benin U23

(Away)
05 Oct
Benin U23
1 : 0
Tunisia U23
29 Sept
Tunisia U23
2 : 0
Benin U23
24 Sept
Togo U23
0 : 2
Benin U23
30 Oct
Benin U23
3 : 1
Sudan U23
23 Oct
Sudan U23
2 : 0
Benin U23

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
D.R. Congo U23 2
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger U23 -
Togo U23 2
Libya U23 4
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 2
Benin U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 5
Tanzania U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Djibouti U23 2
South Sudan U23 4
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 4
Sudan U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 6
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Congo U23 -
Seychelles U23 2
Botswana U23 4
TBD -
Guinea U23 -
Malawi U23 1
Eswatini U23 2
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 6
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
Zambia U23 -
D.R. Congo U23 -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
Niger U23 -
Libya U23 -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 -
Ivory Coast U23 -
South Sudan U23 -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 -
Congo U23 -
Botswana U23 -
Guinea U23 -
Eswatini U23 -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 -
Mali U23 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -