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Tunisia vs Burkina Faso

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade Olympique de Rades
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Simpore S.
55'
Sub
Khadhraoui H. In: Slimane A.
Out: Khadhraoui H.
60' Event
Tapsoba E.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Tunisia in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tunisia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tunisia
6%
Draws
90%
Burkina Faso
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Burkina Faso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Burkina Faso have won more games recently than Tunisia.
  • Win probability leans Burkina Faso's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 18%
Burkina Faso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia Burkina Faso
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2025 Friendly International
Tunisia vs Burkina Faso
2:0
Jan 29, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso vs Tunisia
1:0
Jan 28, 2017 Africa Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso vs Tunisia
2:0
Sep 6, 2008 World Championship
Burkina Faso vs Tunisia
0:0
Jun 1, 2008 World Championship
Tunisia vs Burkina Faso
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tunisia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mastouri H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Burkina Faso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia 10 / 100
Burkina Faso 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia Burkina Faso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tunisia scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Burkina Faso has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Difficult form: Burkina Faso registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia VS Burkina Faso
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%