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Stadium Background

Tunisia vs Syria

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, Al Rayyan
Tunisia Logo

Tunisia

0 - 1
FT
Syria Logo

Syria

Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Al Hallaq M.
46'
Sub
Al Hallaq M. In: Samia Y.
Out: Al Hallaq M.
47'
Haddadi O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tunisia
20%
Draws
80%
Syria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Syria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Syria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Syria taking it.
  • Syria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Syria, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 22%
Syria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia Syria
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.44 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Tunisia vs Syria
0:1
Dec 3, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup
Syria vs Tunisia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tunisia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Syria Compare

Top Goalscorer Khribin O. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia 10 / 100
Syria 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia Syria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Syria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunisia scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Syria has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Syria lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia VS Syria
1.63 Goals Scored 1.17
1 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia

(Home)
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
06 Jun
Belgium
5 : 0
Tunisia
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
Page 1 of 6

Syria

(Away)
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
11 Dec
Morocco
1 : 0
Syria
07 Dec
Syria
0 : 0
Palestine
04 Dec
Syria
1 : 1
Qatar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)