Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations

Uganda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Uganda have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Tunisia have conceded 1 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Tunisia slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 23, 2025, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.69, favoring Tunisia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Tunisia

Draws

90%

Uganda

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uganda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Uganda carry the better recent record into this one.
Uganda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Uganda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Tunisia, who have won 4 of the last 4 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Tunisia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Tunisia Clean Sheet 20%

Uganda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tunisia	Uganda
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	15	17
Draws	6	4
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.63	0.38
Goals Conceded	1	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations

Tunisia vs Uganda

3:1

Jan 4, 2017 Friendly International

Tunisia vs Uganda

2:0

Mar 8, 1978 Africa Cup of Nations

Tunisia vs Uganda

3:1

Jan 19, 1962 Africa Cup of Nations

Tunisia vs Uganda

3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia 10 / 100

Uganda 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tunisia Uganda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UGA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Tunisia found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Uganda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Uganda conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia VS Uganda

1.63 Goals Scored 0.38

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 38%

63% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia

(Home)

25 Jun

Tunisia

1 : 3

Netherlands

21 Jun

Tunisia

0 : 4

Japan

15 Jun

Sweden

5 : 1

Tunisia

06 Jun

Belgium

5 : 0

Tunisia

01 Jun

Austria

1 : 0

Tunisia

Page 1 of 7

Uganda

(Away)

30 Dec

Uganda

1 : 3

Nigeria

27 Dec

Uganda

1 : 1

Tanzania

23 Dec

Tunisia

3 : 1

Uganda

18 Nov

Morocco

4 : 0

Uganda

14 Nov

Uganda

2 : 1

Chad

Page 1 of 7