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Tunisia vs Zambia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025
Tue, Jun 10, 2025
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tunisia host Zambia in the Friendly International 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tunisia have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.56 conceded recently, against Zambia's 1 scored and 1.54 conceded. Head-to-head, Tunisia have won 3 to Zambia's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 10, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.15, favoring Tunisia. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tunisia
30%
Draws
47%
Zambia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zambia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tunisia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 20%
Zambia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia Zambia
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
Tunisia vs Zambia
0:0
Nov 16, 2021 World Championship
Tunisia vs Zambia
3:1
Sep 7, 2021 World Championship
Zambia vs Tunisia
0:2
Jan 22, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations
Zambia vs Tunisia
1:2
Jan 13, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations
Zambia vs Tunisia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia 32 / 100
Zambia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia Zambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunisia scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Zambia let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Zambia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia VS Zambia
1 Goals Scored 0.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia

(Home)
28 Sept
Tunisia
2 : 2
Botswana
24 Sept
Tunisia
1 : 1
Uganda
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
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Zambia

(Away)
29 Sept
Zambia
2 : 0
Togo
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
31 Mar
Argentina
5 : 0
Zambia
29 Dec
Zambia
0 : 3
Morocco
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0
Comoros
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