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Tunisia W vs Senegal W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Casset N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Senegal W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tunisia W
15%
Draws
46%
Senegal W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Senegal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Senegal W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tunisia W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Senegal W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Senegal W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Tunisia W Clean Sheet 20%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia W Senegal W
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 13 19
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 2.06 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2023 Friendly International Women
Tunisia W vs Senegal W
2:3
Oct 27, 2023 Friendly International Women
Tunisia W vs Senegal W
0:2
Jul 17, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs Tunisia W
1:0
Jun 27, 2022 Friendly International Women
Tunisia W vs Senegal W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tunisia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Senegal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Casset N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia W 42 / 100
Senegal W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia W Senegal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunisia W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Senegal W let in goals in 48% of their last 33 matches.

Tunisia W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia W VS Senegal W
3.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia W

(Home)
08 Oct
Tunisia W
0 : 1
Senegal W
08 Jun
Egypt W
3 : 2
Tunisia W
05 Jun
Egypt W
2 : 1
Tunisia W
16 Apr
Tunisia W
2 : 1
Comoros W
12 Apr
Tunisia W
1 : 0
Benin W
Page 1 of 7

Senegal W

(Away)
08 Oct
Tunisia W
0 : 1
Senegal W
03 Aug
Senegal W
0 : 0
Morocco W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Algeria W
2 : 0
Senegal W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tunisia W -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal W -
Benin W -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali W -
Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
Sudan W 0
Comoros W 30
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W -
TBD -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Rwanda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia W -
Botswana W -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
TBD -
TBD -
Namibia W -
South Sudan W 1
Madagascar W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W -
TBD -
TBD -
Kenya W -
Malawi W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zimbabwe W -
Uganda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Mauritius W 3
Djibouti W 1
TBD -
Ghana W -
1/8-finals
Tunisia W 0
Senegal W 1
Benin W 3
Mali W 1
Congo W -
Morocco W -
Comoros W -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W 3
Equatorial Guinea W 1
Rwanda W 0
Ethiopia W 1
Botswana W -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
Namibia W -
Madagascar W -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W 0
Kenya W 11
Malawi W 0
Zimbabwe W 0
Uganda W 2
Zambia W 1
Mauritius W 0
Ghana W 3
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -