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Tuntum vs Chapadinha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2024
Tuntum Logo

Tuntum

5 - 4
FT
Chapadinha Logo

Chapadinha

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Marcos
6' Event
de Lima J.
8' Event
Victor Joao
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2024 game between Tuntum and Chapadinha finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuntum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Tuntum
35%
Draws
9%
Chapadinha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tuntum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tuntum come out ahead of Chapadinha on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tuntum a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Maranhense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Tuntum Clean Sheet 68%
Chapadinha Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuntum Chapadinha
Matches Played 33 21
Wins 9 4
Draws 12 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Maranhense
Tuntum vs Chapadinha
5:4
Feb 3, 2024 Maranhense
Chapadinha vs Tuntum
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuntum Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Joao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cristeanderson A. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Chapadinha Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Lima J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuntum 86 / 100
Chapadinha 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuntum Chapadinha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuntum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapadinha let in goals in 90% of their last 21 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Tuntum found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Tuntum went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuntum VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuntum

(Home)
11 Feb
Tuntum
1 : 2
Imperatriz
07 Feb
Imperatriz
2 : 2
Tuntum
01 Feb
Moto Club
2 : 2
Tuntum
28 Jan
Tuntum
1 : 1
Sampaio Correa
25 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Tuntum
Page 1 of 7

Chapadinha

(Away)
02 Apr
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Chapadinha
27 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 3
Sampaio Correa
24 Mar
Tuntum
5 : 4
Chapadinha
16 Mar
Imperatriz
1 : 0
Chapadinha
03 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maranhao 14 9 4 1 27:9 31
2 Sampaio Correa 14 8 4 2 24:13 28
3 Imperatriz 14 7 4 3 17:12 25
4 Moto Club 14 4 5 5 15:20 17
5 Pinheiro 14 2 8 4 20:19 14
6 Tuntum 14 5 4 5 19:23 13
7 Chapadinha 14 2 3 9 11:23 9
8 Cordino EC 14 1 4 9 14:28 7
Promotion - Maranhense 2024 (Play Offs)