Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Guimaraes V.
50'
50'
Biano B.
AI Match Summary
The Paulista B game between Tupa and Assisense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Assisense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tupa come out ahead of Assisense on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Assisense's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tupa Clean Sheet 16%
Assisense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tupa | Assisense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Paulista B
Tupa vs Assisense
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Paulista B
Assisense vs Tupa
3:2
Jun 8, 2025 Paulista B
Tupa vs Assisense
1:2
May 2, 2025 Paulista B
Assisense vs Tupa
2:3
Nov 8, 2020 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Assisense
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tupa Compare
Top Goalscorer Guimaraes V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Assisense Compare
Top Goalscorer Biano B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tupa 23 / 100
Assisense 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tupa Assisense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Assisense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tupa scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Assisense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Tupa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tupa VS Assisense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tupa
(Home) 05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2 Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1 Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1 Tupa
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2 Santa Fe SP
30 May
Tupa
1 : 1 Assisense
09 May
Tupa
2 : 0 Riopretano
02 May
Tupa
2 : 0 America SP
Page 1 of 3
Assisense
(Away) 04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4 Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0 Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2 Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0 Assisense
30 May
Tupa
1 : 1 Assisense
17 May
Riopretano
1 : 1 Assisense
01 May
Santa Fe SP
0 : 1 Assisense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
