Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Tupa play Independente SP in the Paulista B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tupa averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Independente SP averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Tupa won 0, Independente SP won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Tupa and 1.69 for Independente SP. This points to a Independente SP double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Independente SP has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tupa.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Independente SP.
- Cup tournament structure in Paulista B increases high-stakes performance focus.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tupa | Independente SP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tupa Compare
Independente SP Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tupa scored in 88% of their last 33 games.
Independente SP let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Tupa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Independente SP lost 2 of their last 5 games.