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Tupa vs Jaboticabal Atletico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2012 game between Tupa and Jaboticabal Atletico finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tupa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tupa
15%
Draws
42%
Jaboticabal Atletico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tupa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tupa come out ahead of Jaboticabal Atletico on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tupa Clean Sheet 16%
Jaboticabal Atletico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupa Jaboticabal Atletico
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2012 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Jaboticabal Atletico
4:1
Aug 12, 2012 Paulista A4
Jaboticabal Atletico vs Tupa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupa 30 / 100
Jaboticabal Atletico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupa Jaboticabal Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupa found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (36 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Jaboticabal Atletico has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Jaboticabal Atletico has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupa VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupa

(Home)
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0
Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2
Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1
Tupa
Page 1 of 8

Jaboticabal Atletico

(Away)
02 Sept
Tupa
4 : 1
Jaboticabal Atletico
29 Aug
Jaboticabal Atletico
0 : 2
Olimpia FC
26 Aug
Sao Vicente
2 : 0
Jaboticabal Atletico
19 Aug
Jaboticabal Atletico
2 : 0
Sao Vicente
15 Aug
Olimpia FC
1 : 0
Jaboticabal Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Barueri 6 2 3 1 6:7 9
2 Votuporanguense 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
3 Nacional SP 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
4 SKA Brasil 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacarei FC 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Fernandopolis 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
3 Mauaense 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
4 Sumare 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Americo EC 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
4 Guaruja 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Vicente 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
2 Tupa 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
4 Jaboticabal Atletico 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)