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Tupa vs Marilia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
Tupa Logo

Tupa

0 - 1
FT
Marilia Logo

Marilia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marilia in this Paulista A4 2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tupa
15%
Draws
21%
Marilia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tupa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Marilia have won more games recently than Tupa.
  • Tupa are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tupa Clean Sheet 19%
Marilia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupa Marilia
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2019 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Marilia
0:1
Aug 23, 2019 Paulista A4
Marilia vs Tupa
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupa 36 / 100
Marilia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupa Marilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tupa scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Marilia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Marilia conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tupa VS Marilia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupa

(Home)
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0
Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2
Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1
Tupa
Page 1 of 7

Marilia

(Away)
22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0
Marilia
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
2 Marilia 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 Catanduva FC 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
4 Tupa 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
2 Sao Jose EC 6 2 3 1 10:7 9
3 Guarulhos 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
4 Catanduvense 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Rio Branco SP 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
3 Itapirense 6 1 4 1 10:8 7
4 Maua FC 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paulista 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
2 Assisense 6 3 1 2 5:6 10
3 Independente SP 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Amparo SP 6 1 1 4 8:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)