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Tupan vs IAPE

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2024
Tupan Logo

Tupan

Sat, Oct 12, 2024
0 - 3
06:30 PM
IAPE Logo

IAPE

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tupan host IAPE in the Maranhense 2 2024. IAPE are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Tupan at 0.74 goals for, 2.11 against; IAPE at 1.09 for, 1.09 against. Head-to-head, Tupan have won 0 to IAPE's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2024, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.23) back IAPE to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tupan
35%
Draws
19%
IAPE
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tupan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • IAPE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Tupan taking it.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Tupan Clean Sheet 20%
IAPE Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupan IAPE
Matches Played 19 32
Wins 2 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.74 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Maranhense 2
IAPE vs Tupan
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs IAPE
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupan 40 / 100
IAPE 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupan IAPE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tupan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: IAPE registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tupan scored in 47% of their last 19 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupan VS IAPE
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupan

(Home)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
01 Jul
Tupan
0 : 0
Araioses
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
20 Jun
Tupan
1 : 0
Expressinho
Page 1 of 4

IAPE

(Away)
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
23 May
IAPE
1 : 1
Iguatu
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
09 May
IAPE
1 : 2
Parnahyba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viana 6 4 2 0 10:0 14
2 ITZ Sport 6 2 3 1 4:7 9
3 Timon EC (MA) 6 1 3 2 2:3 6
4 Santa Quiteria 6 0 2 4 2:8 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 6 5 1 0 19:2 16
2 Sao Luis 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Sao Jose (MA) 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
4 Tupan 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2024 (Play Offs)