Sport Picks

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Tupan vs Sao Luis

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2024
Fri, Oct 18, 2024
0 - 3
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tupan host Sao Luis in the Maranhense 2 2024. Sao Luis are expected to control this from the start. Sao Luis have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Tupan have conceded 2.11 and scored 0.74. Head-to-head, Tupan have won 0 to Sao Luis's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 4, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.50) back Sao Luis to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tupan
30%
Draws
41%
Sao Luis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Luis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sao Luis are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tupan Clean Sheet 16%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupan Sao Luis
Matches Played 19 25
Wins 2 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.74 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Tupan
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs Sao Luis
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Tupan
3:0
Oct 18, 2024 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs Sao Luis
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupan 11 / 100
Sao Luis 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupan Sao Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Luis has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Tupan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tupan found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (19 games).

Scoring Trends

Tupan VS Sao Luis
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupan

(Home)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
01 Jul
Tupan
0 : 0
Araioses
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
20 Jun
Tupan
1 : 0
Expressinho
Page 1 of 4

Sao Luis

(Away)
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
17 Jun
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viana 6 4 2 0 10:0 14
2 ITZ Sport 6 2 3 1 4:7 9
3 Timon EC (MA) 6 1 3 2 2:3 6
4 Santa Quiteria 6 0 2 4 2:8 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 6 5 1 0 19:2 16
2 Sao Luis 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Sao Jose (MA) 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
4 Tupan 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2024 (Play Offs)