Sport Picks

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Tupapa vs Solomon Warriors

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Alick J.
18' Event
Tangis K.
34' Event
Baringer-Tahiri T.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2019 game between Tupapa and Solomon Warriors finished 1-10, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Solomon Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tupapa
20%
Draws
40%
Solomon Warriors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Solomon Warriors haven't matched Tupapa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tupapa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 10%
Solomon Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupapa Solomon Warriors
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 2.5 1.83
Goals Conceded 3.4 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.46 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2020 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Solomon Warriors
0:0
Feb 24, 2019 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Solomon Warriors
1:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Harmon G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.89
Avg xA / game 1.23

Solomon Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Tangis K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alick J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupapa 56 / 100
Solomon Warriors 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupapa Solomon Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solomon Warriors has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Tupapa scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solomon Warriors's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupapa VS Solomon Warriors
2.75 Goals Scored 0.67
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.17
100% Over 1.5 83%
100% Over 2.5 33%
75% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupapa

(Home)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

Solomon Warriors

(Away)
18 May
Auckland City
5 : 0
Solomon Warriors
15 May
Solomon Warriors
2 : 3
Rewa
12 May
Solomon Warriors
0 : 2
PNG Hekari
22 Feb
Solomon Warriors
1 : 1
Central Coast
17 Feb
Central Coast
0 : 1
Solomon Warriors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hienghene Sport 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Lae City 3 1 2 0 8:6 5
3 Tefana 3 0 2 1 6:7 2
4 Malampa Revivors 3 0 1 2 5:12 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Sport 3 2 1 0 12:4 7
2 Henderson Eels 3 2 0 1 15:8 6
3 Lautoka 3 1 1 1 12:8 4
4 Morobe Wawens 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Ba 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Kiwi 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 23:1 9
2 Magenta 3 2 0 1 14:3 6
3 Solomon Warriors 3 1 0 2 10:10 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 2:35 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)