Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tupapa vs Veitongo

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2024
Tupapa Logo

Tupapa

3 - 2
FT
Veitongo Logo

Veitongo

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Kendler E.
43' Event
Connolly D.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Connolly D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tupapa in this OFC Champions League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tupapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tupapa
20%
Draws
40%
Veitongo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Veitongo haven't matched Tupapa's recent run of results.
  • Veitongo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Tupapa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 10%
Veitongo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupapa Veitongo
Matches Played 29 16
Wins 12 2
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.55 1.69
Goals Conceded 3.52 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.14 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2024 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Veitongo
3:2
Feb 18, 2023 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Veitongo
1:0
Jan 31, 2020 OFC Champions League
Veitongo vs Tupapa
2:2
Jan 23, 2018 OFC Champions League
Veitongo vs Tupapa
2:9
Jan 27, 2016 OFC Champions League
Veitongo vs Tupapa
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Connolly D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tairi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.42
Avg xA / game 1.57

Veitongo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kendler E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupapa 18 / 100
Veitongo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupapa Veitongo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Veitongo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Veitongo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 16 matches.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Tupapa found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Veitongo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupapa VS Veitongo
3.88 Goals Scored 3
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.4
100% Over 1.5 60%
100% Over 2.5 60%
75% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupapa

(Home)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

Veitongo

(Away)
23 Feb
Tupapa
3 : 2
Veitongo
20 Feb
Veitongo
0 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
17 Feb
Veitongo
13 : 0
Vaiala Tongan
21 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
9 : 0
Veitongo
18 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 0
Veitongo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaivase-Tai 3 2 1 0 18:0 7
2 Tupapa 3 2 0 1 17:6 6
3 Veitongo 3 1 1 1 15:3 4
4 Vaiala Tongan 3 0 0 3 0:41 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2024 (Main)