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Tupi-MG vs Boston City

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Joao Pedro
79' Event
Conceicao Cerqueira L.
87' Event
Schimaltz P.

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2025 game between Tupi-MG and Boston City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tupi-MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tupi-MG
40%
Draws
29%
Boston City
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Tupi-MG carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tupi-MG Clean Sheet 20%
Boston City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupi-MG Boston City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Mineiro 3
Tupi-MG vs Boston City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupi-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Conceicao Cerqueira L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schimaltz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Boston City Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupi-MG 32 / 100
Boston City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupi-MG Boston City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boston City has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tupi-MG scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Tupi-MG remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupi-MG VS Boston City
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tupi-MG633011:712
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632112:611
3Novo Esporte63218:411
4Inter de Minas631211:710
5Boston City62137:117
6Uniao Luziense60334:73
7Serranense60245:162
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boa541013:113
2Paracatu51315:86
3Juventus Minasnovense51226:105
4Essube51225:65
5Passos51223:45
6Nacional Uberaba51225:85