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Tupy FC vs Rio Verde

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Emerson Machado
45' Event
Daniel Costa
77' Event
Rodrigo Fuzil

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 3 2024 game between Tupy FC and Rio Verde finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tupy FC
33%
Draws
40%
Rio Verde
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rio Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Verde come out ahead of Tupy FC on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Rio Verde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tupy FC Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupy FC Rio Verde
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 Goiano 2
Tupy FC vs Rio Verde
2:2
Jun 22, 2025 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Tupy FC
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Goiano 3
Rio Verde vs Tupy FC
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Goiano 3
Tupy FC vs Rio Verde
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 Goiano 3
Tupy FC vs Rio Verde
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupy FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Fuzil
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rio Verde Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Machado
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daniel Costa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupy FC 28 / 100
Rio Verde 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupy FC Rio Verde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tupy FC scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Rio Verde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Tupy FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tupy FC VS Rio Verde
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guanabara City2
Mineiros1
Rio Verde6
Uruacu2
Itumbiara3
Aparecida EC2
Bela Vista FC1
Tupy FC4
Semi-finals
Guanabara City0
Rio Verde6
Itumbiara1
Tupy FC5
Final
Rio Verde4
Tupy FC3